Talk Talk Talk Talk Talk Myself to Death: West Virginia: Setting Off the Hillary Rebound?

Monday, May 12, 2008

West Virginia: Setting Off the Hillary Rebound?

Surprise! There's no longer any calculus that moves in Hillary's favor, but she refuses to drop out of the race she's almost certain to lose (the almost is in case Obama gets caught in some of the weird weather that's been going around). Of course, it's no surprise at all. She's said that she'll fight all the way to the convention, and although I'm not so certain about that, I'd be very surprised if she left before the last primaries in Montana and South Dakota. But in case you haven't seen it, Obama's surpassed Hillary in superdelegates according to pretty much all measures: Associated Press, ABC News (which was the first to call it), CNN, and MSNBC. She's expected to win big in West Virginia (28 delegates are at stake!), and I'd expect she'd only do marginally less well there if she actually withdrew from the race. For the time being, it's more respectable for Obama to lose West Virginia by a hefty margin to someone who's still in the race than someone who's decided to sit it out. Will we see a Hillary landslide tomorrow? Maybe. Does it matter? No matter how much Hillary might will it to be a significant step forward in her quest, no it doesn't.


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