Talk Talk Talk Talk Talk Myself to Death: Republican Follies

Saturday, January 05, 2008

Republican Follies

Twenty-four hours later, there's been more fallout from Iowa, with the Republican machinations much more fun to watch than those of the Democrats. The liberal media is falling all over itself to label John McCain, who finished behind Huckabee, Romney, and Thompson with 13 percent of the vote (roughly a third of Huckabee's total and half of Romney's), as the true hero of the night. Greta van Susteren said, "I can't think of anyone happier tonight than Sen. John McCain," after Obama and Huckabee apparently slipped her mind for a moment. And Mike Allen enthused:

Tonight is a fantastic night for John McCain. . . . He's one of the biggest winners of the night. He's now in a fantastic position. Except for Barack Obama, there's almost no one you'd rather be tonight than John McCain.

Almost is the key word there. I'm not sure Mike Huckabee was wasting any time thinking, "Damn, if only I'd come in fourth like McCain!" Matt Yglesias had the best comment on this wish fulfillment:

I think Kansas will beat Virginia Tech, but the real winner of the Orange Bowl will be John McCain as the merest thought of football reminds voters of his toughness.

McCain himself, meanwhile, was busy endearing himself to the anti-war vote. He suggested he'd be fine to stay in Iraq for 100 years, and when pressed, claimed he'd be fine if the occupation continued for 1,000 years. That wouldn't make it just a problem for our children and grandchildren--the 31st century gets us into Legion of Super-Heroes territory.

McCain's rivals didn't fare much better. Fred Thompson, who barely edged McCain for third, may indeed have wished to have traded places. He won enough votes to keep him in the race when he may have wished for an excuse to get out. He's doing less than he might, though, having decided to take a pass on New Hampshire and put his efforts into South Carolina. That's a variation on the Giuliani plan, let somebody else build momentum and then try to catch up. It's not the most obvious strategy for success, but I guess we'll have to see how it plays out.

Speaking of Giuliani, he sat most of Iowa out and was rewarded with a big 4 percent of the vote for his trouble, putting him in 6th place. He's not concerned, though, as he's pioneering the lose now win later strategy. Still, he took some solace in previous experience. As bad as a 6th place finish in Iowa could be, he pointed out, it wasn't as bad as 9/11. That's a point on which I think we can all agree.

3 Comments:

At 11:14 AM, January 05, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gonna have to disagree re your McCain Happy assertion. I'm having a problem spinning out a scenario that allows for both Obama and McCain.

I mean if Obama draws in NH Independents and disaffected Republicans who's left to vote for McCain? I'd like to see both in the general ... it's the campaign the country needs but that neither man should want. Which is to say that the only R I can see Obama loosing to is McCain and the toughest democrat for McCain to defeat would be Obama.

They have similar strengths (honest/cross-over)and tend to highlight the others weaknesses (age/experience).

If I were McCain, I'd have been hopping for an Edwards win that would have bloodied Clinton up for the fall.

 
At 12:32 PM, January 05, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dirk, take a closer look at what I wrote. The triumphant McCain meme isn't mine, it belongs to the so-called liberal media. In my reality-based math system, 13 percent means that the vote went against McCain by almost 7-1. Anyone who sees reason to celebrate in that number is more than welcome to their optimism.

 
At 2:20 AM, January 06, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well I haven't commented here lately so I trying to sneak one in.

 

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